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THE DIFFICULT TRUTH ABOUT THE CHERNOBYL CATASTROPHE: THE WORST EFFECTS ARE STILL TO COME

foreword to the 2006 Greenpeace Report by Prof., Dr. biol. Alexey Yablokov,
recipient of the 2002 Nuclear-Free Future Lifetime Achievement Award,
and Member of the European Committee on Radiation Risk

For millions of inhabitants of the planet the explosion of the fourth block of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant on the 26th of April 1986 divided their life into two parts: pre and post Chernobyl. All mixed into the word "Chernobyl" are technocratic adventurism and the heroism of liquidators, human solidarity and the cowardice of leaders (frightened to warn their citizens about the terrible outcomes and, by that, strongly increasing the number of innocent victims), the sufferings of many and the self-interest of others. Chernobyl brought into our lives new terminology, such as "liquidators", the "children of Chernobyl" and "Chernobyl AIDS".

In the past twenty years it has become clear, that nuclear energy conceals dangers, in some aspects, even greater than atomic weapons: the ejecta from this one reactor exceeded the radioactive contamination caused by the nuclear weapons used at Hiroshima and Nagasaki by one hundred times. It has become clear that one nuclear reactor can contaminate half of the Earth and that no longer, not in one single country, could citizens be assured that the state will have the forethought and wisdom to protect them from nuclear misfortunes. The fate of thousands of soldier-liquidators was sealed by the phrase in one of the documents of the former USSR Ministry of Defence dated 9th July 1987. "... the fact of the proximity of work performed on the core [on liquidation] should not be reflected, nor the total radiation dose, if they [liquidators] did not reach the degree of radiation sickness…".

The "Chernobyl' Forum" – a group of specialists, including the representatives of the IAEA, the UN Scientific committee on the influence of atomic radiation, the WHO, other UN programs, as well as the World Bank and the staff of some of the state organizations of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine presented a report, "Health Effects of the Chernobyl Accident and Special Health Care Programs" on the threshold of the Chernobyl anniversary, in September 2005. The basic conclusions of the medical portion of the report of the "Chernobyl Forum" are that 4,000-9,000 people died, or will die, from radiogenic cancer (which against the background of spontaneous cancers "will be difficult to identify"). That report indicates that 4,000 cases of childhood radiogenic cancers of the thyroid gland were resolved via medical operations. That report acknowledges that certain increases in the cataracts of liquidators and children from the contaminated regions have been discovered. The report concludes, generally, that the consequences of the catastrophe "for the people’s health proved to be not so significant, as they were first considered to be".

A more objective point of view was well-expressed by the UN General Secretary, Kofi Annan: "…the exact number of victims may never be known, but 3 million children require treatment and... many will die prematurely... Not until 2016, at the earliest, will be known the full number of those likely to develop serious medical conditions... because of delayed reactions to radiation exposure... many will die prematurely... ".

Radioactive fall-outs from Chernobyl clouds touched many territories, where more than three billion people live. More than 50% of these territories across 13 European countries were dangerously contaminated by radionuclides from Chernobyl (and in 8 further countries - more than 30% of their territories). It will be the fate of many future generations to suffer the echoes of Chernobyl in these countries according to inexorable statistical and biological laws.

In reality, the number of childhood thyroid cancers caused by Chernobyl in Belarus, Ukraine and Russia is much greater than is indicated by the IAEA and/or the WHO. It is also impossible to consider those having undergone medical operations as having been "cured" - for in reality they will have had their health compromised by disruptions of their hormonal and immune systems and by living on medication. Thyroid cancer is only one of many pathologic changes in this organ under the effect of the radiation. For each case of cancer there are many tens of cases of other diseases of this important endocrine gland. Disturbances of health, connected with radiogenic changes in the thyroid gland, already touched not several, but many tens of thousands of individuals. In the following 30-50 years they will touch many thousands more.

The worsening of health related to radiation exposure from the Chernobyl accident (especially – in children’s health), in the "Chernobyl" territories of Belarus, Ukraine and Russia is without scientific doubt. Dozens of diseases are explicable neither by the effect of the screening methodologies, nor by social and economic factors.

I will not repeat here the content of the following report, but I will highlight some of the reasons for such serious differences in the estimation of the consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe between the side of the atomic energy industry and from the side of many independent experts. Some former Soviet officials have not only forbidden doctors to connect current diseases with the Chernobyl irradiation, but have also classified some Chernobyl-related materials, making these materials difficult, and at times impossible, to obtain. In order to overcome these political manipulations, a rigorous scientific approach has been applied in the assessment and selection of material provided in this report. Statistically significant variances of the health of the population in the affected territories, with identical ethnic, psychological, geographical, social and economic characteristics (which are differentiated only by the exposure to the Chernobyl irradiation) are explained via the consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe.

The following report, in its concentrated form, presents to the English speaking reader material that was previously difficult to access (published in Belarus, Russian and Ukrainian literature). There are many scientific studies on the consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe on health, published in these three countries but to date, little of this information has been available via Western journals. It should be noted that since 1959 there has been an understanding between the IAEA and the WHO, that the WHO will "coordinate" its position with the IAEA on atomic-related health issues. With the valuable assistance of many independent specialists from Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and many other countries, I hope that this report will be among many further objective examinations of the true scale of the Chernobyl catastrophe to be published in the near future.

2006 Greenpeace Report: The Chernobyl Catastrophe
Consequences on Human Health


See also:

NFFAward advisor Dr. Rosalie Bertell comments on the WHO/IAEA/UNDP press release, "Chernobyl: the true scale of the accident"

The Other Report on Chernobyl (TORCH)




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